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Spread Options: Dr. Saturday's Week 10 picks against the spread

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Hey, a 7-3 Week 9 made us 44-40-6. Can we make it two weeks in a row?

Temple (-13.5) at SMU, 8 p.m. ET FRIDAY: This game may be close for a while. SMU's record (1-7) doesn't show it, but the Mustangs have improved significantly under Whataburger-loving coach Chad Morris. Temple is still in the mix for a New Year's Six bowl spot because of a game against Memphis later in the month. But for the dream to continue, the Owls have to win and win big.

Kentucky at Georgia (-14.5), Noon ET: Is this the game that decides the future of all or part of Georgia's coaching staff? There's been no decision as to who will start at QB for Georgia, but it'll likely not be Faton Bauta, who played quarterback vs. Florida. Kentucky did not look good at all vs. Tennessee at home, and if the Wildcats keep it close it may be more due to Georgia's incompetence than anything else.

Notre Dame (-8.5) at Pitt, Noon ET: Pitt lost a golden chance at an ACC title game with the loss to North Carolina last Thursday. Can the Panthers upset Notre Dame? Maybe. To do it, Pitt has to stop the Deshone Kizer-Will Fuller connection. And while Temple slowed the pair down last weekend, Fuller and Kizer hooked up for the game-winning score. This game won't be a blowout, but Pitt won't give Notre Dame nearly the scare Temple did.

Stanford at Colorado (+16.5), 1 p.m. ET: The Buffaloes are due to give someone a scare at home, right? Stanford escaped against Washington State and has no business losing on Saturday. But there's something that tells us Colorado hangs around for the duration.

Wisconsin at Maryland (+11), 3:30 p.m. ET: Here's another home dog that could turn into a straight up win. Wisconsin does have Corey Clement back and the Badgers easily dispatched of Rutgers in Week 9. And given Maryland's struggles this season it's a pick that's not easily explainable. The Terrapins were down 31-0 to Iowa before making the game 31-15. We're still rolling with it though.

TCU (-5.5) at Oklahoma State, 3:30 p.m. ET: Prove it, Oklahoma State. TCU has played a couple of close games this season but stomped West Virginia in Week 9. Meanwhile, the Cowboys pulled away late against Texas Tech, one of those teams that TCU closely beat. Tech isn't much of a barometer of the two teams, and we're taking the best player on the field in Trevone Boykin.

Michigan State (-6) at Nebraska, 7 p.m. ET: You're probably wondering why this line is so small. We are too and we feel like suckers for taking it. Before Nebraska's 10-point loss to Purdue on Saturday (a game that wasn't even that close), the combined margin of the Cornhuskers' previous five defeats was 13 points. 13! Nebraska needs to win out for a bowl. We don't think that's happening.

Auburn at Texas A&M (-7.5), 7:30 p.m. ET: This line is so small because of Texas A&M's struggles against South Carolina. Yeah, Kyler Murray looked great making his first start of the season, but the Aggies beat a bad SC team by seven. The Auburn game is more about the A&M run defense than it is about Murray. Can John Chavis' defense hold up better against the Tigers than it did against Alabama?

Utah (+2) at Washington, 7:30 p.m. ET: Remember the last time Utah was a road underdog? Yeah, it didn't turn out too well. Washington isn't USC and if the Utes have any hope of sneaking into the College Football Playoff, they can't afford another loss. Either way, this game is going to be close. And Travis Wilson better not throw four interceptions again.

LSU (+7) at Alabama, 8 p.m. ET: This game is what, a two or three-point game at a neutral site? Less? We're thinking line here is shifted towards Alabama outside of home-field because of a perceived advantage at quarterback. Brandon Harris has played well at LSU, but he's been overshadowed by Leonard Fournette. Meanwhile, Jacob Coker's emergence has gotten a lot of attention at Alabama. But why are we taking the Tigers? LSU's playmakers on the outside can crack Alabama's secondary if the Tide stuffs Fournette.

THE RUSTY LOCKS OF THE WEEK

Nick Bromberg (4-5) Arkansas at Ole Miss (-10), 3:30 p.m. ET: It's still a bit crazy to think that if Ole Miss wins out, the Rebels are the SEC West champions. And how fun of a disaster scenario for the SEC's CFP hopes would that be? Arkansas can't rely on Brandon Allen to pick apart Ole Miss' defense and I trust the Rebels to be able to stop the run. Ole Miss wins this game by two touchdowns or more.

Sam Cooper (3-6) Penn State (+2) at Northwestern, Noon ET: Penn State is known more for its defense, but PSU has really started to hit its stride on offense over the past few weeks. Christian Hackenberg isn’t turning the ball over at all this year, and though Northwestern has a pretty solid defense, I don’t think PSU will have to score all that much to beat the offensively-challenged Wildcats.

Graham Watson(1-7-1) Arizona State at Washington State (-2.5): The Cougars were a missed field goal away from upsetting Stanford last week, but the way they played throughout the game spoke volumes about the way this team has matured this season. Arizona State is one of the nation’s worst passing defenses going against Wazzu QB Luke Falk and one of the best passing offenses. Like those odds. The Cougars rebound this week.

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Nick Bromberg is the assistant editor of Dr. Saturday on Yahoo Sports. Have a tip? Email him at nickbromberg@yahoo.com or follow him on Twitter!


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