Oh, it's getting bad. After a 1-7-2 week in Week 4, our record is now at 15-19-6. Blargh. Let's reverse the two-week trend.
West Virginia at Oklahoma (OVER 59.5), Noon ET: Oklahoma has scored at least 31 points in its first three games of the season. West Virginia has scored at least 41 in its first three games. This is a sneaky candidate to be the highest scoring game in the Big 12 in Week 5. Oklahoma's defense has given up plenty of yards and points so far this season. We think that could continue in one of the 11 a.m. CT games OU coach Bob Stoops loves.
Minnesota at Northwestern (-3.5), Noon ET: The Gophers are the masters of the close game so far in 2015. Every Minnesota game has been within six points. And its three wins have been within three. The Northwestern defense is the best defensive unit Minnesota has faced all year. We can fully envision a scoreline similar to the 23-17 one that TCU beat Minnesota by in Week 1.
Army (+26.5) at Penn State, Noon ET: This line seems ridiculously high, doesn't it? That means Penn State will win by five touchdowns. Penn State did go for 37 against San Diego State in Week 4, the Nittany Lions' highest points total of the year. Army lost to Fordham in Week 1 and its only win came against Eastern Michigan. We think Penn State easily wins, but by three touchdowns rather than four.
Louisville (+4) at N.C. State, 12:30 p.m. ET: Louisville's loss to Auburn in Week 1 doesn't look nearly as good as it once did. But N.C. State is going to be without the services of RB Shadrach Thornton, who was dismissed from the team earlier in the week. The Cardinals should still be a bowl team and face one ranked team the rest of the way. Louisville moves to 2-3.
Texas Tech at Baylor (-17), 3:30 p.m. ET: Texas Tech is better than we expected. However it's tough to get up for another top-five opponent a week after losing a heartbreaker. And that heartbreaker was at home and this game is on the road. We don't want to touch the O/U (88.5), but feel confident in Baylor here. If Tech does keep it within two possessions, the Red Raiders have a real shot at third or fourth in the conference.
Nebraska (-7) at Illinois, 4 p.m. ET: The Cornhuskers have lost to Miami and BYU, but both of those losses came on crushing pass plays late. After starting 2-0, Illinois is struggling to figure itself out. The Illini were rampaged by North Carolina and escaped from Middle Tennessee State at home in Week 4 thanks to a missed field goal. We're going with the better team here and don't think Nebraska QB Tommy Armstrong will make a late game mistake.
Washington State at Cal (OVER 71), 4 p.m. ET: After losing to Portland State in Week 1, Washington State has scored more than 30 in wins over Rutgers and Wyoming. By now you know that the Cal offense, led by QB Jared Goff, is one of the best ones in the country. Goff should be able to throw all over Washington State. But Mike Leach's offense should be able to move the ball on Cal's defense enough to hit the number.
Mississippi State at Texas A&M (-6.5), 7:30 p.m. ET: Last year's Missisippi State game sent Texas A&M's season into a spiral. Kenny (Trill) Hill fell from atop the college football world and ended up transferring to TCU. There won't be a repeat in College Station on Saturday night. While you may think Dak Prescott is a better quarterback than Kyle Allen, we're not sure you can make the same case about Misissippi State overall vs. A&M.
Notre Dame at Clemson (-1.5), 8 p.m. ET: We picked against Notre Dame two weeks ago and the Fighting Irish dominated Georgia Tech. We're doing it again. Go bet on the Irish, Notre Dame fans. The game in Death Valley is QB DeShone Kizer's first road start and could be the springboard for an ACC Player of the Year campaign for Clemson QB Deshaun Watson.
Oregon (-7.5) at Colorado, 10 p.m. ET: Over the past five-plus seasons, Oregon has been a favorite in the regular season all but twice. In the 61 games the Ducks have been favored, they have been a single-digit favorite just eight times. Saturday makes nine. And against Colorado of all teams. The Buffaloes are improved and Oregon is trying to find a quarterback. Plus it's without RB Thomas Tyner and WR Byron Marshall. But we think the Ducks bounce back from the Utah embarrassment.
LOCKS OF THE WEEK
Nick Bromberg (1-3): Arizona State at UCLA (-14), 7:30 p.m. ET: The Bruins are better than we thought and Arizona State looks much worse than we thought. The Sun Devils were embarrassed against USC at home in Week 4 while UCLA throttled Arizona on the road. A bounceback combined with a letdown? Nope. UCLA dispatches ASU easily.
Sam Cooper (1-3): Minnesota at Northwestern (-4), 12:00 p.m. ET: Northwestern is 4-0 in large part because of a defense that is giving up just 8.7 points per game. With an offensively-challenged Minnesota team coming to Evanston, I like the upstart Wildcats to improve to 5-0. This game has a 17-10 score written all over it. Big Ten football, baby.
Graham Watson (0-2-2): Mississippi (-7) at Florida, 7:00 p.m. ET : I know it’s been tough to find teams to really believe in this season, but I believe in the Rebels (at least until the final quarter of the season). I think the Ole Miss defensive line will put relentless pressure on quarterback Will Grier and force him into more mistakes than he usually makes. This will be a great test for quarterback Chad Kelly against the Florida secondary, but I think he comes through.
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Nick Bromberg is the assistant editor of Dr. Saturday on Yahoo Sports. Have a tip? Email him at nickbromberg@yahoo.com or follow him on Twitter!